Carlisle 23 April 2011
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He has won two hurdle races and a chase from 2m to 2m 4f on soft and heavy ground. A winner at 5-2 in a chase here over 2m 4f (soft) on his latest outing last month, beating Victors Serenade by 3 1/2l.
He has won two hurdle races and a chase from 2m to 2m 4f on soft and heavy ground. A winner at 5-2 in a chase here over 2m 4f (soft) on his latest outing last month, beating Victors Serenade by 3 1/2l.
Placed in a hurdle race from six NH starts. Well beaten at 100-1 behind Realt Mor when 9th of 14 on his latest outing in a hurdle race at Kelso over 2m 2f (good to soft) earlier this month.
Placed in a hurdle race from six NH starts. Well beaten at 100-1 behind Realt Mor when 9th of 14 on his latest outing in a hurdle race at Kelso over 2m 2f (good to soft) earlier this month.
A winner of a hurdle race at 2m 1f on good ground, but that win was over two years ago. Third of 5 behind Mister Marker beaten 16l at 6-4fav on his latest outing in a chase here over 2m 4f (soft) last month.
A winner of a hurdle race at 2m 1f on good ground, but that win was over two years ago. Third of 5 behind Mister Marker beaten 16l at 6-4fav on his latest outing in a chase here over 2m 4f (soft) last month.
Yet to place in 13 starts. Pulled up 2 out when 33-1 at Sedgefield over 2m (good to soft) in a chase won by Gavroche Gaugain last month on his latest outing.
Yet to place in 13 starts. Pulled up 2 out when 33-1 at Sedgefield over 2m (good to soft) in a chase won by Gavroche Gaugain last month on his latest outing.
Unplaced in all 13 NH starts. Well beaten at 33-1 behind Allanard when last of 7 on his latest outing in a chase at Newcastle over 2m 4f (good to soft) earlier this month.
Unplaced in all 13 NH starts. Well beaten at 33-1 behind Allanard when last of 7 on his latest outing in a chase at Newcastle over 2m 4f (good to soft) earlier this month.
It may pay to stick with LORD VILLEZ here. After a string of near-misses, he scored nicely over 2m4f here last month and, although he's up 5lb today, could follow up now he's found out how to get his head in front. Although he disappointed last time and unseated his rider on his chasing debut at Hexham, Indian Groom can be given every chance here on his fine second over C&D two starts ago. Decipher, a decent sort on the Flat, has shown little in six runs over hurdles but might go better first time over fences.
This looks a match between Indian Groom and Lord Villez, with preference for the former in receipt of 7 lb.
Winner of three hurdle races and two chases from 2m 4f to 3m 1f on ground varying from good to heavy, but last win was over two years ago. Beaten 6l by Bear Dancing when second of 8 at 16-1 on his latest outing in a chase at Newcastle over 3m (good to soft).
Winner of three hurdle races and two chases from 2m 4f to 3m 1f on ground varying from good to heavy, but last win was over two years ago. Beaten 6l by Bear Dancing when second of 8 at 16-1 on his latest outing in a chase at Newcastle over 3m (good to soft).
Placed in two hurdle races from 14 starts. Well beaten at 12-1 behind Against The Wind when sixth of 9 on his latest outing in a chase here over 2m (soft) last month.
Placed in two hurdle races from 14 starts. Well beaten at 12-1 behind Against The Wind when sixth of 9 on his latest outing in a chase here over 2m (soft) last month.
He has won four chases from 3m to 3m 1f on ground varying from good to firm to heavy. Finished 20l behind Bear Dancing when sixth of 8 at 10-1 on his latest outing in a chase at Newcastle over 3m (good to soft) earlier this month.
He has won four chases from 3m to 3m 1f on ground varying from good to firm to heavy. Finished 20l behind Bear Dancing when sixth of 8 at 10-1 on his latest outing in a chase at Newcastle over 3m (good to soft) earlier this month.
Placed in two hurdle races from 12 starts. Third of 12 behind Strongpoint beaten 6l at 6-1 on his latest outing in a hurdle race at Musselburgh over 3m (good to soft) in November '09.
Placed in two hurdle races from 12 starts. Third of 12 behind Strongpoint beaten 6l at 6-1 on his latest outing in a hurdle race at Musselburgh over 3m (good to soft) in November '09.
He has won three chases from 2m to 2m 5f on soft and heavy ground, but last win was over two years ago. Unseated rider when 20-1 at Hexham over 3m 1f (good) in a chase won by Nicky Tam earlier this month on his latest outing.
He has won three chases from 2m to 2m 5f on soft and heavy ground, but last win was over two years ago. Unseated rider when 20-1 at Hexham over 3m 1f (good) in a chase won by Nicky Tam earlier this month on his latest outing.
He has won three chases at 2m on good and heavy ground, but last win was over two years ago. Well beaten at 50-1 behind Nicky Tam when eighth of 17 on his latest outing in a chase at Hexham over 3m 1f (good) earlier this month.
He has won three chases at 2m on good and heavy ground, but last win was over two years ago. Well beaten at 50-1 behind Nicky Tam when eighth of 17 on his latest outing in a chase at Hexham over 3m 1f (good) earlier this month.
Placed in four hurdle races and a chase from 26 starts. Fell at the last when 8-1 at Hexham over 3m (heavy) in a hurdle race won by Delightfully last month on her latest outing.
Placed in four hurdle races and a chase from 26 starts. Fell at the last when 8-1 at Hexham over 3m (heavy) in a hurdle race won by Delightfully last month on her latest outing.
The veteran SHREWD INVESTOR hasn't won for a long time and is not the most consistent nowadays but has twice finished second recently and is worth giving another chance today. He's 2lb lower than his best winning mark and this slight step up in trip should be in his favour. Bayfirth has shown ability over hurdles and could go well first time over fences but has been off the track for more than two years. Almond Court fell over hurdles last time out but might be given a chance on the pick of her chasing form.
All come with risks attached. Shrewd Investor should go close judged on his recent Newcastle second, but his unreliability is part of his make-up and course-specialist Teenando could prove a better option.
Successful in a hurdle race and a chase at 2m 4f and 2m 6f on good to firm and good ground. Pulled up 2 out when 12-1 at Bangor over 3m (good) in a chase won by Tarablaze last month on his latest outing.
Successful in a hurdle race and a chase at 2m 4f and 2m 6f on good to firm and good ground. Pulled up 2 out when 12-1 at Bangor over 3m (good) in a chase won by Tarablaze last month on his latest outing.
He has won three hurdle races from 2m to 2m 6f on ground varying from good to heavy. Well beaten at 16-1 behind Benny Be Good when fourth of 8 on his latest outing in a chase at Sedgefield over 2m 5f (good to firm) earlier this month.
He has won three hurdle races from 2m to 2m 6f on ground varying from good to heavy. Well beaten at 16-1 behind Benny Be Good when fourth of 8 on his latest outing in a chase at Sedgefield over 2m 5f (good to firm) earlier this month.
Placed in two hurdle races and two chases from 20 starts. Well beaten at 8-1 behind Backstage when fifth of 8 on his latest outing in a hurdle race at Perth over 3m (good to firm) in July '09.
Placed in two hurdle races and two chases from 20 starts. Well beaten at 8-1 behind Backstage when fifth of 8 on his latest outing in a hurdle race at Perth over 3m (good to firm) in July '09.
A winner of a hurdle race at 2m on good to soft ground. Beaten 2 1/2l by Harry Flashman when second of 11 at 6-1 on his chase debut at Hexham over 2m 4f (good) earlier this month.
A winner of a hurdle race at 2m on good to soft ground. Beaten 2 1/2l by Harry Flashman when second of 11 at 6-1 on his chase debut at Hexham over 2m 4f (good) earlier this month.
A winner of a hurdle race at 2m 4f on soft ground, but that win was over two years ago. Pulled up 2 out when 20-1 at Catterick over 2m 3f (good) in a hurdle race won by Samizdat last month on her latest outing.
A winner of a hurdle race at 2m 4f on soft ground, but that win was over two years ago. Pulled up 2 out when 20-1 at Catterick over 2m 3f (good) in a hurdle race won by Samizdat last month on her latest outing.
This should go the way of MONTOYA'S SON, who impressed when a close second over 2m5f at Hexham this month on his chasing debut. He's entitled to benefit for the experience and has very little extra to find to land this. Big Burrows has lost his way this year but can be given a chance on his win over fences at Sedgefield last May, while Currahee and Lord Samposin has proved consistent sorts over timber but need to find another gear over the bigger obstacles.
It will be more than a little disappointing were Montoya's Son not to get off the mark at the second attempt over fences. Currahee is a tentative pick for the forecast.
Winner of three hurdle races and three chases from 2m 4f to 3m on good to firm and good ground. Pulled up at the 15th when 33-1 at Cheltenham over 3m 1f (good) in a chase won by Junior last month on his latest outing. Has won at Kelso and Perth this season.
Winner of three hurdle races and three chases from 2m 4f to 3m on good to firm and good ground. Pulled up at the 15th when 33-1 at Cheltenham over 3m 1f (good) in a chase won by Junior last month on his latest outing. Has won at Kelso and Perth this season.
Successful in two chases at 2m 6f and 3m 1f on heavy ground. Well beaten at 11-2 behind Eyre Square when sixth of 12 on his hurdling debut at Hexham over 3m (good to soft) last month.
Successful in two chases at 2m 6f and 3m 1f on heavy ground. Well beaten at 11-2 behind Eyre Square when sixth of 12 on his hurdling debut at Hexham over 3m (good to soft) last month.
Winner of three hurdle races and two chases from 2m to 3m 3f on soft and heavy ground. Third of 7 behind Pouvoir beaten 3 1/2l at 7-1 on his latest outing in a chase at Bangor over 2m 4f (good) last month.
Winner of three hurdle races and two chases from 2m to 3m 3f on soft and heavy ground. Third of 7 behind Pouvoir beaten 3 1/2l at 7-1 on his latest outing in a chase at Bangor over 2m 4f (good) last month.
Has won four hurdle races and five chases from 2m to 3m on ground varying from good to firm to heavy. A winner at 12-1 in a chase at Ascot over 3m (good) on his latest outing earlier this month, beating Appleaday by a head.
Has won four hurdle races and five chases from 2m to 3m on ground varying from good to firm to heavy. A winner at 12-1 in a chase at Ascot over 3m (good) on his latest outing earlier this month, beating Appleaday by a head.
He has won a hurdle race, a NH flat race and a chase from 2m to 2m 4f on good to firm and good ground. Pulled up at the 13th when 11-2 at Wetherby over 3m 1f (good to firm) in a chase won by Western Gale earlier this month on his latest outing.
He has won a hurdle race, a NH flat race and a chase from 2m to 2m 4f on good to firm and good ground. Pulled up at the 13th when 11-2 at Wetherby over 3m 1f (good to firm) in a chase won by Western Gale earlier this month on his latest outing.
Winner of two hurdle races and three chases from 2m 1f to 3m 1f on good to soft and soft ground. Third of 8 behind Rambling Minster beaten 23l at 11-4 on his latest outing in a chase at Doncaster over 3m (good to soft) in February.
Winner of two hurdle races and three chases from 2m 1f to 3m 1f on good to soft and soft ground. Third of 8 behind Rambling Minster beaten 23l at 11-4 on his latest outing in a chase at Doncaster over 3m (good to soft) in February.
A winner of a chase at 3m 1f on good to firm ground. Beaten 4l by Balthazar King when second of 3 at 9-2 on his latest outing in a chase at Hereford over 3m 1f (good to soft) last month. Having his first run for a new stable today, previously with Evan Williams.
A winner of a chase at 3m 1f on good to firm ground. Beaten 4l by Balthazar King when second of 3 at 9-2 on his latest outing in a chase at Hereford over 3m 1f (good to soft) last month. Having his first run for a new stable today, previously with Evan Williams.
He has won a NH flat race and two chases at 2m on good and good to soft ground. Well beaten at 8-1 behind Texas Holdem when fifth of 12 on his latest outing in a hurdle race here over 2m 4f (soft) last month.
He has won a NH flat race and two chases at 2m on good and good to soft ground. Well beaten at 8-1 behind Texas Holdem when fifth of 12 on his latest outing in a hurdle race here over 2m 4f (soft) last month.
He has won a hurdle race, a NH flat race and a chase from 2m to 3m 1f on good to firm and good ground. Well beaten at 9-2 behind Garleton when sixth of 10 on his latest outing in a chase at Ayr over 3m 1f (soft) last month.
He has won a hurdle race, a NH flat race and a chase from 2m to 3m 1f on good to firm and good ground. Well beaten at 9-2 behind Garleton when sixth of 10 on his latest outing in a chase at Ayr over 3m 1f (soft) last month.
In an open contest, it could pay to stick with MAGIC SKY, who returned to form with a narrow win over 3m at Ascot this month. He's up 6lb as a result but has scored off higher marks in the past and can follow up, dropped in class today. Storymaker hasn't proved the most consistent recently but was a good third off this mark over 2m5f at Bangor last time and must be given a chance on that effort. Dark Ben and Acrai Rua are others to consider.
Question marks against several here on account of the ground, but not for Go Silver Bullet, who can put a poor hurdles run behind him. Magic Sky is in good heart, whilst Sheriff Hutton drops in class and merits respect.
He has won two hurdle races and a chase from 2m 4f to 3m 1f on ground varying from good to firm to soft. A winner at 3-1 in a chase at Hexham over 3m 1f (good to soft) on his latest outing last month, beating Silent Cliche by a neck.
He has won two hurdle races and a chase from 2m 4f to 3m 1f on ground varying from good to firm to soft. A winner at 3-1 in a chase at Hexham over 3m 1f (good to soft) on his latest outing last month, beating Silent Cliche by a neck.
A winner of a chase at 3m 1f on good to soft ground. Well beaten at 18-1 behind Eyre Square when seventh of 11 on his latest outing in a chase at Newcastle over 3m (good to soft) in November last year. Having his first run for a new stable today.
A winner of a chase at 3m 1f on good to soft ground. Well beaten at 18-1 behind Eyre Square when seventh of 11 on his latest outing in a chase at Newcastle over 3m (good to soft) in November last year. Having his first run for a new stable today.
Unplaced in all five starts. Well beaten at 14-1 behind Yes Tom when fifth of 9 on his latest outing in a hurdle race at Ayr over 3m (heavy) in February.
Unplaced in all five starts. Well beaten at 14-1 behind Yes Tom when fifth of 9 on his latest outing in a hurdle race at Ayr over 3m (heavy) in February.
A winner of a NH flat race at 2m on good ground, but that win was over three years ago. Finished 18l behind Spirit Calling when fifth of 9 at 16-1 on his latest outing in a chase here over 2m (good to soft) last month.
A winner of a NH flat race at 2m on good ground, but that win was over three years ago. Finished 18l behind Spirit Calling when fifth of 9 at 16-1 on his latest outing in a chase here over 2m (good to soft) last month.
Yet to place in eight starts. Finished 14l behind Bear Dancing when fifth of 8 at 2-1fav on his latest outing in a chase at Newcastle over 3m (good to soft) earlier this month.
Yet to place in eight starts. Finished 14l behind Bear Dancing when fifth of 8 at 2-1fav on his latest outing in a chase at Newcastle over 3m (good to soft) earlier this month.
A winner at 8-1 in a chase at Hexham over 3m 1f (good) on his latest outing earlier this month, beating Charming Knight by 3 1/2l.
A winner at 8-1 in a chase at Hexham over 3m 1f (good) on his latest outing earlier this month, beating Charming Knight by 3 1/2l.
Yet to place in seven starts. Third of 4 behind Ballycarron Lad beaten 24l at 28-1 on his latest outing in a chase over this course and distance (good to soft) last month.
Yet to place in seven starts. Third of 4 behind Ballycarron Lad beaten 24l at 28-1 on his latest outing in a chase over this course and distance (good to soft) last month.
It's taken NICKY TAM a while to get to grips with the chasing game but the penny seems to have dropped and he broke his duck in some style over 3m1f at Hexham. He's up 5lb in the ratings but there could be more to come and he's taken to follow up. Final Veto landed a beginners' chase over 3m1f at Hexham in game style but has a lot more to do off this handicap mark, while Dollar Mick looks flattered by his form figures but appears to have been given a chance here by the handicapper.
Last-time-out Hexham winners Final Veto and Nicky Tam look the pair to concentrate on, with narrow preference for the latter.
He has won two hurdle races and a NH flat race at 2m on soft and heavy ground, but last win was over three years ago. Finished 17l behind Willandrich when fifth of 9 at 9-1 on his latest outing in a chase at Uttoxeter over 2m 6f (good) earlier this month.
He has won two hurdle races and a NH flat race at 2m on soft and heavy ground, but last win was over three years ago. Finished 17l behind Willandrich when fifth of 9 at 9-1 on his latest outing in a chase at Uttoxeter over 2m 6f (good) earlier this month.
Winner of three hurdle races and three chases from 2m to 2m 1f on ground varying from good to firm to heavy. Pulled up 3 out when 17-2 at Kelso over 2m 1f (good to soft) in a chase won by Duke of Malfi earlier this month on his latest outing.
Winner of three hurdle races and three chases from 2m to 2m 1f on ground varying from good to firm to heavy. Pulled up 3 out when 17-2 at Kelso over 2m 1f (good to soft) in a chase won by Duke of Malfi earlier this month on his latest outing.
He has won four hurdle races from 2m to 2m 3f on good and soft ground. Fell at the last when 9-2 at Sedgefield over 2m 1f (good) in a hurdle race won by Hi Dancer last month on his latest outing.
He has won four hurdle races from 2m to 2m 3f on good and soft ground. Fell at the last when 9-2 at Sedgefield over 2m 1f (good) in a hurdle race won by Hi Dancer last month on his latest outing.
A winner of a hurdle race at 2m 2f on good to firm ground. Well beaten at 16-1 behind Sheriff Hall when 13th of 14 on his latest outing in a hurdle race at Musselburgh over 2m (good) in November last year.
A winner of a hurdle race at 2m 2f on good to firm ground. Well beaten at 16-1 behind Sheriff Hall when 13th of 14 on his latest outing in a hurdle race at Musselburgh over 2m (good) in November last year.
A winner of a chase at 2m on good ground, but that win was over two years ago. Finished 9l behind Spirit Calling when fourth of 9 at 10-1 on his latest outing in a chase over this course and distance (good to soft) last month.
A winner of a chase at 2m on good ground, but that win was over two years ago. Finished 9l behind Spirit Calling when fourth of 9 at 10-1 on his latest outing in a chase over this course and distance (good to soft) last month.
At the start of the season, Blackpool Billy looked a good chasing prospect but it's a brave man who would back him here after a string of disappointing efforts, including twice refusing to race. Carrietau disappointed last time out when pulled up at Kelso but won off a 5lb higher mark at the same track a year ago and has claims on that effort. SAMIZDAT was beaten when falling at Sedgefield last month but isn't badly weighted on his winning chase form and looks worth supporting here.
It's hard to be positive about any of the field, and Carrietau is only a very tentative selection after pulling up last time. Chase debutant Samizdat looks the best alternative.
Successful in two chases at 2m 4f and 2m 5f on good to firm and good ground. Beaten a neck by Thunder Hawk when second of 11 at 7-4fav on his latest outing in a chase at Hexham over 3m 1f (good) earlier this month. Has won at Hexham and Cartmel this season.
Successful in two chases at 2m 4f and 2m 5f on good to firm and good ground. Beaten a neck by Thunder Hawk when second of 11 at 7-4fav on his latest outing in a chase at Hexham over 3m 1f (good) earlier this month. Has won at Hexham and Cartmel this season.
Has won three hurdle races, a NH flat race and four chases from 2m to 3m 1f on ground varying from good to firm to soft. Third of 11 behind Thunder Hawk beaten 6l at 7-1 on his latest outing in a chase at Hexham over 3m 1f (good) earlier this month.
Has won three hurdle races, a NH flat race and four chases from 2m to 3m 1f on ground varying from good to firm to soft. Third of 11 behind Thunder Hawk beaten 6l at 7-1 on his latest outing in a chase at Hexham over 3m 1f (good) earlier this month.
He has won two hurdle races and two chases from 2m 6f to 3m on good to firm and good ground. Well beaten at 6-1 behind Thunder Hawk when fourth of 11 on his latest outing in a chase at Hexham over 3m 1f (good) earlier this month.
He has won two hurdle races and two chases from 2m 6f to 3m on good to firm and good ground. Well beaten at 6-1 behind Thunder Hawk when fourth of 11 on his latest outing in a chase at Hexham over 3m 1f (good) earlier this month.
After landing a double last summer, a fall at Haydock in February seemed to knock ARDNACLANCY'S confidence but he's finding his feet again, just going down a neck at Hexham last time. He can go one better today in this company. Abragante was a Listed chase winner back in 2007 but missed the whole of last year and has looked a shadow of his former self in two runs in this grade this year. Aggie's Lad has won twice over fences in better races than this but needs to raise his game after a string of poor efforts this season.
The reliable Ardnaclancy finished in front of Abragante and Aggie's Lad on his most recent outing at Hexham and there is little reason to think he won't confirm that form.