Vincennes 30 January 2020
Instructions
Please click on the “View Full Racecard & Odds” button to get the full racecard information.
Good class of horse but tends to show more in the provinces. Has never delivered over 2850m on the main track and no more than a minor place chance
Good class of horse but tends to show more in the provinces. Has never delivered over 2850m on the main track and no more than a minor place chance
Hardy mare that consistently gives her best. Goes well for Raffin and can pick up a cheque
Hardy mare that consistently gives her best. Goes well for Raffin and can pick up a cheque
Erratic sort but flew up over course and distance early January and if similarly focused can again go close
Erratic sort but flew up over course and distance early January and if similarly focused can again go close
Has done nothing but progress this winter. Thrives with M.Abrivard at the helm and even in this company can get in on the action
Has done nothing but progress this winter. Thrives with M.Abrivard at the helm and even in this company can get in on the action
Moderate type that latterly failed to confirm his good Pont Chateau effort and unlikely to spring any surprises
Moderate type that latterly failed to confirm his good Pont Chateau effort and unlikely to spring any surprises
Mixes the good with the less good but in the frame in last two when barefoot. Climbs back up the class ladder and with application can figure prominently
Mixes the good with the less good but in the frame in last two when barefoot. Climbs back up the class ladder and with application can figure prominently
Very hard to fault under these conditions. Drops back in class after failing to fire behind (10) DAYANA BERRY a month back and from the front line can apply the pressure on (11) DIABLE DE VAUVERT
Very hard to fault under these conditions. Drops back in class after failing to fire behind (10) DAYANA BERRY a month back and from the front line can apply the pressure on (11) DIABLE DE VAUVERT
Dependability not his strong suit but has been enjoying a productive run lately. Confirmed under these conditions and can play a role if he reproduces his recent Agen performance
Dependability not his strong suit but has been enjoying a productive run lately. Confirmed under these conditions and can play a role if he reproduces his recent Agen performance
Hardy sort but has better references in the other code. Has a good entry though and with an unhindered trip could yet get a look in
Hardy sort but has better references in the other code. Has a good entry though and with an unhindered trip could yet get a look in
Fine mare with very good Vincennes credentials but has other priorities and best to wait
Fine mare with very good Vincennes credentials but has other priorities and best to wait
Went into his summer break after winning smartly over course and distance. Gave a good account on comeback in a Gr.3 recently and going barefoot this time could well have his way
Went into his summer break after winning smartly over course and distance. Gave a good account on comeback in a Gr.3 recently and going barefoot this time could well have his way
Forced to play bridesmaid in three of last four. Lost his action last time but with application can make amends and finish in the mix
Forced to play bridesmaid in three of last four. Lost his action last time but with application can make amends and finish in the mix
Excels under these conditions. Won a similar event over 2700m here late last month and again looks a serious proposition
Excels under these conditions. Won a similar event over 2700m here late last month and again looks a serious proposition
Got the winter off to a decent start but failed to make any impact in last four and needs to show more
Got the winter off to a decent start but failed to make any impact in last four and needs to show more
Good class of trotter with references at a superior level but makes first appearance since the autumn and will need the race
Good class of trotter with references at a superior level but makes first appearance since the autumn and will need the race
Has won four races since moving to the Nivard stable. Lost his action last time but showed he was clearly in form and with application can make a big impact
Has won four races since moving to the Nivard stable. Lost his action last time but showed he was clearly in form and with application can make a big impact
A very good class of trotter with references at a superior level (11) DIABLE DE VAUVERT most recently made an excellent re-entry following a long absence and with shoes off this time can return to winning ways. Not quite as good but 25m better off (7) DOLLAR SOYER has been prepared for this and together with the in-form (6) DELFINO looks the main threat. (13) COLT DES ESSARTS is very dangerous when barefoot and focused and considering current form will be no easy touch. (2) DASCALIA boasts a fine record under these conditions and can again finish in the mix.
Untried filly that pleased in qualification under harness but faces a stiff test first time out
Untried filly that pleased in qualification under harness but faces a stiff test first time out
Qualified respectably but lost his action early on recent debut and others will be easier to back
Qualified respectably but lost his action early on recent debut and others will be easier to back
Very disappointing in both harness runs to date and will need to show a completely different side to himself
Very disappointing in both harness runs to date and will need to show a completely different side to himself
Debuts under the saddle after four modest runs in the other code and unlikely to garner much support
Debuts under the saddle after four modest runs in the other code and unlikely to garner much support
Well regarded colt that raced better here recently than the result would suggest and can make the frame this time
Well regarded colt that raced better here recently than the result would suggest and can make the frame this time
Fifth on debut behind (9) HACKER LOVER before trotting a place behind (7) HICKORY D'ERPION next time and unlikely to spring any surprises
Fifth on debut behind (9) HACKER LOVER before trotting a place behind (7) HICKORY D'ERPION next time and unlikely to spring any surprises
Has shown decent ability so far. No chance of imposing but can still trot into the money
Has shown decent ability so far. No chance of imposing but can still trot into the money
Hardy sort that took well to the main track earlier in the month. Raffin in the irons again and looks a decent place prospect
Hardy sort that took well to the main track earlier in the month. Raffin in the irons again and looks a decent place prospect
Solid on ridden debut last month before getting off the mark under harness a fortnight ago and debuts in the capital with a good hand to play
Solid on ridden debut last month before getting off the mark under harness a fortnight ago and debuts in the capital with a good hand to play
Fine colt that impressed over course and distance earlier this month and if afforded a run can impose this time
Fine colt that impressed over course and distance earlier this month and if afforded a run can impose this time
The progressive (10) HISPANIEN has done nothing but improve since his sanctioned debut here last month. With a better trip he could well have got off the mark last time and looks to have the measure of the promising Philippe Allaire-trained colt (5) HURRICANE WAY. (8) HOUSTON BERRY received a resounding thumbs-up for his performance here earlier in the month and Eric Raffin has maintained faith. (9) HACKER LOVER has demonstrated good aptitude for both codes and even though stepping up in class should still be able to hold his own.
Showed promise last winter but subsequently went off the boil and no chance on first start for three months
Showed promise last winter but subsequently went off the boil and no chance on first start for three months
26 starts and yet to lose his maiden tag. Drops down the class ladder but in current form will have little to offer
26 starts and yet to lose his maiden tag. Drops down the class ladder but in current form will have little to offer
Useful in the claiming category. Pleasant third in a Lyon edition last week and must not be overlooked
Useful in the claiming category. Pleasant third in a Lyon edition last week and must not be overlooked
Delicate at the best of times but has ability. Would have gone home with a decent cheque last time had he stayed in stride and must be respected
Delicate at the best of times but has ability. Would have gone home with a decent cheque last time had he stayed in stride and must be respected
Has previously won at this level but very disappointing since the autumn and will have few takers
Has previously won at this level but very disappointing since the autumn and will have few takers
Has done nothing but blot her copybook since the spring and has no realistic chance
Has done nothing but blot her copybook since the spring and has no realistic chance
Hardy sort that was not the most fortunate here recently. Is better than latest results would suggest and with application can finish in the mix
Hardy sort that was not the most fortunate here recently. Is better than latest results would suggest and with application can finish in the mix
By some margin the best horse in the field and made the frame on lone appearance over track and trip. If focused should have this in the bag
By some margin the best horse in the field and made the frame on lone appearance over track and trip. If focused should have this in the bag
Hardy mare with a solid record in the claiming division. Gave a reassuringly good account last time and looks main threat to (8) FATSBY DE GUEZ
Hardy mare with a solid record in the claiming division. Gave a reassuringly good account last time and looks main threat to (8) FATSBY DE GUEZ
No champion but regularly gives his best. Finished a place behind (9) FARAH DES CAUX last time and in similar form can again make the first five
No champion but regularly gives his best. Finished a place behind (9) FARAH DES CAUX last time and in similar form can again make the first five
On a fine run of form since the autumn (8) FATSBY DE GUEZ was never at his ease here last week and can put that run firmly behind him. He takes a huge dip in class and should be able to win this. JMB can still expect to meet opposition from claiming specialist (9) FARAH DES CAUX who gave an excellent account over shorter here nine days ago. (7) FURIOSO BEACH lost his action that day but is clearly up to the task and if applied can go close. (4) GOSPEL DE BAILLY would have made the frame last time had he not faulted and on better behaviour will have a good hand to play.
Has not once shown any liking for Vincennes conditions and can be confidently passed over
Has not once shown any liking for Vincennes conditions and can be confidently passed over
Capable filly that placed under these conditions last month. Failed to confirm next time and chances limited
Capable filly that placed under these conditions last month. Failed to confirm next time and chances limited
Useful sort that showed marked improvement behind (14) GOOD NEWS on the short course two weeks ago. Faces a stiffer test this time but can still make her presence felt
Useful sort that showed marked improvement behind (14) GOOD NEWS on the short course two weeks ago. Faces a stiffer test this time but can still make her presence felt
Still chasing that elusive first win after 19 starts. Was not disgraced behind (12) GALIE DE CELINIERE last time but others still preferred
Still chasing that elusive first win after 19 starts. Was not disgraced behind (12) GALIE DE CELINIERE last time but others still preferred
Not short of talent but was found wanting on her recent comeback and will need another outing
Not short of talent but was found wanting on her recent comeback and will need another outing
Has been knocking at the door since the autumn. Lost her action in the race of reference but with application can figure prominently
Has been knocking at the door since the autumn. Lost her action in the race of reference but with application can figure prominently
No champion but always gives her best. Placed just once in ten here though and unlikely to shake things up
No champion but always gives her best. Placed just once in ten here though and unlikely to shake things up
Reliability not her strong suit and yet to make her mark here but encouraged behind (14) GOOD NEWS mid month and will generate some interest
Reliability not her strong suit and yet to make her mark here but encouraged behind (14) GOOD NEWS mid month and will generate some interest
Faithful servant that imposed on Vincennes debut earlier this month. Moves up in class and over to the main track but will not be far off the mark if she takes to the new profile
Faithful servant that imposed on Vincennes debut earlier this month. Moves up in class and over to the main track but will not be far off the mark if she takes to the new profile
Delicate but is a filly with ample ability. Unseen since early December and debuts over the main track but is barefoot for the occasion and can get straight down to business
Delicate but is a filly with ample ability. Unseen since early December and debuts over the main track but is barefoot for the occasion and can get straight down to business
25 runs and still chasing that elusive first win. Placed just once in six on the long course and no threat
25 runs and still chasing that elusive first win. Placed just once in six on the long course and no threat
Just one win in 15 starts but runner up in last two over track and trip and looks capable of finishing in the mix once more
Just one win in 15 starts but runner up in last two over track and trip and looks capable of finishing in the mix once more
Moderate sort with better references going clockwise. Has no love for Vincennes and can be passed over
Moderate sort with better references going clockwise. Has no love for Vincennes and can be passed over
Hardy element that left a good impression on the short course a fortnight ago. Goes barefoot again and will have her chances
Hardy element that left a good impression on the short course a fortnight ago. Goes barefoot again and will have her chances
Complicated filly with better references under the saddle but is first time barefoot and the presence of Raffin in the sulky must be taken as a positive sign. Claim
Complicated filly with better references under the saddle but is first time barefoot and the presence of Raffin in the sulky must be taken as a positive sign. Claim
(10) GLOIRE DE LA BASLE can occasionally display a lack of discipline but she has talent in spades. She will be fresh for her main-track debut and going first time barefoot can make it a winning one. (15) GIVE ME SEVEN has yet to establish her credentials in the specialty but she has a lot going for her here and looks a serious proposition. In the frame in two of three over course and distance (12) GALIE DE CELINIERE has been enjoying a productive run this winter and can again finish close. (6) GITANE DU DIGEON is a decent filly in the making and will not be far off the mark if she can keep her action together.
Opened his ridden account in style ten days ago over track and trip at the first time of asking but takes a big hike in class and chances slim
Opened his ridden account in style ten days ago over track and trip at the first time of asking but takes a big hike in class and chances slim
Useful sort but sanctioned early last time behind (10) GLORIA BERRY and even with application will still have his work cut out
Useful sort but sanctioned early last time behind (10) GLORIA BERRY and even with application will still have his work cut out
Blows hot and cold but has ability and latterly set her personal best behind (10) GLORIA BERRY. No chance of imposing but can still trot her way onto the podium
Blows hot and cold but has ability and latterly set her personal best behind (10) GLORIA BERRY. No chance of imposing but can still trot her way onto the podium
Faithful colt that produced his career best performance in a Gr.2 here eleven days ago. Untried over 2700m but still the main threat to (10) GLORIA BERRY
Faithful colt that produced his career best performance in a Gr.2 here eleven days ago. Untried over 2700m but still the main threat to (10) GLORIA BERRY
Not as sharp as he was this time last year. A flattering fifth to (4) GEF DE PLAY last time and not a priority
Not as sharp as he was this time last year. A flattering fifth to (4) GEF DE PLAY last time and not a priority
Won two on the trot during the autumn including over the distance here. Has been prepared under harness and returns barefoot to the discipline with a decent chance of spoiling the party
Won two on the trot during the autumn including over the distance here. Has been prepared under harness and returns barefoot to the discipline with a decent chance of spoiling the party
Useful when focused and is proven at a superior level. One to note
Useful when focused and is proven at a superior level. One to note
Seldom gets her nose in front but is confirmed in this class. Gave a reassuringly good account earlier in the month and debuts under the saddle with a good hand to play
Seldom gets her nose in front but is confirmed in this class. Gave a reassuringly good account earlier in the month and debuts under the saddle with a good hand to play
Capable on a good day and disappointing in Prix de Vincennes. Has previously won over course and distance with Raffin in the irons and will have her supporters
Capable on a good day and disappointing in Prix de Vincennes. Has previously won over course and distance with Raffin in the irons and will have her supporters
Quality filly that was particularly impressive in a Gr.2 on ridden debut recently. Drops back in category and can have her way this time
Quality filly that was particularly impressive in a Gr.2 on ridden debut recently. Drops back in category and can have her way this time
Undeniably capable but disappointing in both starts in the discipline and can be passed over
Undeniably capable but disappointing in both starts in the discipline and can be passed over
Very impressive on ridden debut in the Gr.2 Prix de Pardieu over shorter here twelve days ago (10) GLORIA BERRY drops down the class ladder and can impose this time. Ricart can nevertheless expect to encounter resistance from the faithful (4) GEF DE PLAY who trotted second in a similar event a day later. Well-regarded at home and valiant fourth in the Gr.1 de Vincennes before trotting fifth to the selection recently (3) GIGI DE VAUDIVAL should be good enough to make the frame. (8) GALACTIC is proven at this level and his recent course and distance effort augurs well for him on his ridden debut.
Complicated trotter with no love for the Vincennes profile and in present form can be confidently passed over
Complicated trotter with no love for the Vincennes profile and in present form can be confidently passed over
Useful sort that most recently finished a place behind (5) EMINENT D'ORGERES over shorter here. Faces a stiffer test this time though and chances limited
Useful sort that most recently finished a place behind (5) EMINENT D'ORGERES over shorter here. Faces a stiffer test this time though and chances limited
Has previously imposed over course and distance but has been struggling this winter and needs to get his house in order
Has previously imposed over course and distance but has been struggling this winter and needs to get his house in order
Moderate type that has shown the limits of his capacity on the main track and can be passed over
Moderate type that has shown the limits of his capacity on the main track and can be passed over
Has never delivered over 2850m on the main track but presently at the top of his game. Takes on some better horses this time but can still get in on the action
Has never delivered over 2850m on the main track but presently at the top of his game. Takes on some better horses this time but can still get in on the action
Tough type with a very good record here. Goes well for Raffin and racing barefoot for the occasion will have his supporters
Tough type with a very good record here. Goes well for Raffin and racing barefoot for the occasion will have his supporters
Not the worst horse here but has never shown much liking for Vincennes and with shoes on will have few takers
Not the worst horse here but has never shown much liking for Vincennes and with shoes on will have few takers
No fan of Vincennes but facile winner of his last two. Unlikely to pull off the three timer but can still make the frame
No fan of Vincennes but facile winner of his last two. Unlikely to pull off the three timer but can still make the frame
Twice a winner on the main track but has never produced the goods under these conditions. Is barefoot this time though and with JMB back in the sulky will have his chances
Twice a winner on the main track but has never produced the goods under these conditions. Is barefoot this time though and with JMB back in the sulky will have his chances
Fine servant that seldom disappoints when unshod. Entrusted to D.Thomain for the first time and if fully fit will have a lot to offer
Fine servant that seldom disappoints when unshod. Entrusted to D.Thomain for the first time and if fully fit will have a lot to offer
Enjoying a fine run of form in both codes this winter. Goes well on the main track and even though stepping up in class must be respected
Enjoying a fine run of form in both codes this winter. Goes well on the main track and even though stepping up in class must be respected
An absolute revelation since last summer. Has never delivered at Vincennes but in present form is very hard to ignore
An absolute revelation since last summer. Has never delivered at Vincennes but in present form is very hard to ignore
Excellent last spring but subsequently went off the boil and appears to have picked up this term where he left off
Excellent last spring but subsequently went off the boil and appears to have picked up this term where he left off
Useful on a good day but better a level down. Encouraging fifth over course and distance last month though and can get a look in
Useful on a good day but better a level down. Encouraging fifth over course and distance last month though and can get a look in
Serious sort with nothing to prove at this level but unraced since last May and will need the outing
Serious sort with nothing to prove at this level but unraced since last May and will need the outing
Quality element with a good record here. Endured a complicated trip last time but is eminently capable of making amends and imposing
Quality element with a good record here. Endured a complicated trip last time but is eminently capable of making amends and imposing
In cracking shape this winter (16) EL SANTO HAUFOR did not enjoy the best of runs recently but is superior to most here and with a better trip can bring home the bacon. Bigeon will nevertheless be keeping a watchful eye on the barefoot (9) ELORIUS DE GUEZ who is reunited with his handler. (8) ESPRIT MYSTIC encouraged on his only run over the main track and while unlikely to complete the hat-trick can still figure prominently. (6) EOLIEN DE CHENU appears to be getting back to his best and will not be far off the mark. (5) EMINENT D'ORGERES is clearly in excellent form and must be respected.
Capable sort but significantly better over a shorter trip and with shoes on will have little to offer
Capable sort but significantly better over a shorter trip and with shoes on will have little to offer
Useful type that pleased in both recent starts under these conditions. Unlikely to take the world by storm but can still finish in the mix
Useful type that pleased in both recent starts under these conditions. Unlikely to take the world by storm but can still finish in the mix
Hardy sort that left quite the impression here a fortnight ago. JMB in the wagon this time and with stride in check can make a big splash
Hardy sort that left quite the impression here a fortnight ago. JMB in the wagon this time and with stride in check can make a big splash
Occasionally a handful but otherwise a fine campaigner. Has already won over course and distance and in present form is hard to ignore
Occasionally a handful but otherwise a fine campaigner. Has already won over course and distance and in present form is hard to ignore
Moderate type that gave an honest account here last week but shoes back on and unlikely to spring any surprises
Moderate type that gave an honest account here last week but shoes back on and unlikely to spring any surprises
Clearly capable but not the most reliable. Unlucky here a fortnight ago but still no more than a minor place prospect
Clearly capable but not the most reliable. Unlucky here a fortnight ago but still no more than a minor place prospect
Not as sharp today as he was early last season but reassured behind (12) FIRST DE MONTFORT last week and will have his supporters
Not as sharp today as he was early last season but reassured behind (12) FIRST DE MONTFORT last week and will have his supporters
Useful sort for the most part but has never delivered over 2700m here. Is first time barefoot though and with D.Thomain at the helm will be no pushover
Useful sort for the most part but has never delivered over 2700m here. Is first time barefoot though and with D.Thomain at the helm will be no pushover
Like a horse reborn since returning to racing unshod behind. Steps up in class but still legitimately vies for the four timer
Like a horse reborn since returning to racing unshod behind. Steps up in class but still legitimately vies for the four timer
Quality trotter that thrives over track and trip. Surprisingly below par last time but comes here fresh and expected to redeem himself
Quality trotter that thrives over track and trip. Surprisingly below par last time but comes here fresh and expected to redeem himself
Faithful servant for the most part but can prove a handful. Lost his action last time but just hind shoes off on this occasion and with application can get a look in
Faithful servant for the most part but can prove a handful. Lost his action last time but just hind shoes off on this occasion and with application can get a look in
Unplaced in both starts under these conditions but imposed in style over 2850m last week and is not incapable of doubling his money
Unplaced in both starts under these conditions but imposed in style over 2850m last week and is not incapable of doubling his money
Has been improving over recent weeks. Latterly fourth in a Class B over course and distance and the drop in category can only work to his advantage
Has been improving over recent weeks. Latterly fourth in a Class B over course and distance and the drop in category can only work to his advantage
Very hard to knock when barefoot and applied. Specifically prepared for this and looks a player
Very hard to knock when barefoot and applied. Specifically prepared for this and looks a player
Has never excelled over 2700m here but is clearly at the top of his game and must be taken seriously
Has never excelled over 2700m here but is clearly at the top of his game and must be taken seriously
Placed three times in nine under these conditions. Has been showing his form lately and must be afforded respect
Placed three times in nine under these conditions. Has been showing his form lately and must be afforded respect
(3) FABAGO DU GERS may never be far from losing his action but he is a tough nut to crack when applied. He was eye-catching here two weeks ago and with JMB back in the wagon can make amends and win this. That being said he will be up against the good (8) FLEURON D'ACADIE who races first time unshod all four and reined by a driver at the top of his game. Winner of his last three and latterly in good order (9) FALCO D'HAVAROCHE returns to Vincennes on a four-timer but may have to settle for a place this time. Derieux races (14) FAST DOMINO barefoot on this occasion and while arguably sharper over shorter can still get in on the action. (12) FIRST DE MONTFORT blitzed the opposition last time and is not to be underestimated.
A total write off in both codes for past nine months and will have few friends
A total write off in both codes for past nine months and will have few friends
Has done little of note under the saddle for over two years and will struggle to make her mark
Has done little of note under the saddle for over two years and will struggle to make her mark
Never closer than 4th in five starts at the venue and needs to raise her game considerably
Never closer than 4th in five starts at the venue and needs to raise her game considerably
Regularly in the thick of things when focused but sanctioned in all four this winter. Was full of running last time though and with application can redeem herself
Regularly in the thick of things when focused but sanctioned in all four this winter. Was full of running last time though and with application can redeem herself
Excellent servant in both codes and has been flying of late. Makes Vincennes debut on a hat trick and looks a possible spoiler
Excellent servant in both codes and has been flying of late. Makes Vincennes debut on a hat trick and looks a possible spoiler
Unexceptional mare that has done little of note for some time. Entrusted to an apprentice in form but still not an obvious choice
Unexceptional mare that has done little of note for some time. Entrusted to an apprentice in form but still not an obvious choice
Delicate but has decent short course references. Just one race under her belt this term though and best to wait
Delicate but has decent short course references. Just one race under her belt this term though and best to wait
Has hardly stepped a foot out of line since last summer. Has never delivered under these conditions but in current form is hard to ignore
Has hardly stepped a foot out of line since last summer. Has never delivered under these conditions but in current form is hard to ignore
Gave a respectable account behind (13) ERAGONNE MAYBE on recent ridden debut but unlikely to trouble the judge
Gave a respectable account behind (13) ERAGONNE MAYBE on recent ridden debut but unlikely to trouble the judge
Hardy mare with decent ridden references. Unlikely to get her nose in front but can still get a look in
Hardy mare with decent ridden references. Unlikely to get her nose in front but can still get a look in
Has merit but failed to fire on lone start here. Barefoot for just second start back but others easier to support
Has merit but failed to fire on lone start here. Barefoot for just second start back but others easier to support
Normally a metronome under the saddle but less effective in last three and needs to reaffirm
Normally a metronome under the saddle but less effective in last three and needs to reaffirm
Pleased in both starts here this winter. Appreciates these particular conditions and can make the frame this time
Pleased in both starts here this winter. Appreciates these particular conditions and can make the frame this time
Dynamic during the summer after a lengthy layoff. Is dangerous when fresh and with shoes off for return will have a lot to offer
Dynamic during the summer after a lengthy layoff. Is dangerous when fresh and with shoes off for return will have a lot to offer
One of the most faithful elements here and latterly showed her liking for Vincennes. Takes first steps under the saddle and if form transitions will be no pushover
One of the most faithful elements here and latterly showed her liking for Vincennes. Takes first steps under the saddle and if form transitions will be no pushover
(14) EUSKARA can prove something of a handful but she goes well when fresh. Wallin races her barefoot on re-entry and it would be no surprise if she were to pick up where she left off. She will however be pitted against the ultra-consistent (15) ENANIE DU RIED who seldom disappoints when unshod all four. (13) ERAGONNE MAYBE has shown a marked return to form since coming back to the capital and looks competitive for a spot on the podium. (4) ENIVRANTE will not be far off the mark if she can stay in stride.